Comparison of Aaron Rodgers’ resistance to Carson Palmer and the Bengals in 2011

How far will Aaron Rodgers’ resistance go?

Rodgers did not attend the three-day Green Bay minicamp this week, which means the three-time MVP is seen as a holdout. It will cost Rodgers less than $ 100,000 fine unless the Packers waive these charges.

Now the next date to watch is July 27. That’s when the Packers open mandatory training camp ahead of the 2021 NFL season. If Rodgers still holds up at this point, the split with Green Bay chairman Mark Murphy and general manager Brian Gutekunst could reach a tipping point. It would be the most notable since Emmitt Smith with the Cowboys in 1993.

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This is different, however. Rodgers is a quarterback. The last quarterback to be absent a full season was Kelly Stouffer, who was unable to accept a contract with the Cardinals after being selected in the first round in 1987. Again, however, this is not the time. same situation.

But there are parallels to Carson Palmer’s former No.1 pick with the Bengals in 2011. Palmer was ultimately traded to Oakland during the season, but not before a messy divorce with the Bengals. And yes, Rodgers Agent Dave Dunn was also Palmer’s agent.

Will Rodgers and the Packers come to the same conclusion? Perhaps. But there are major differences between the two obstacles, and these need to be addressed.

State of the franchise

The Bengals were 4-12 in Palmer’s seventh season in 2010, and he finished with 3,970 yards, 26 touchdowns and 20 interceptions. “Palmer met with Bengals owner Mike Brown to request a separation from the team, coupled with a threat to retire if that request is not met,” Cincinnati.com reported in January 2011.

A decade later, Rodgers addressed his future after the Packers lost the second straight NFC Championship game to Tampa Bay on January 19, 2020. He called his situation with the Packers a “beautiful mystery”, who continued ongoing speculation about his future at Green Bay despite a 26-6 regular season record with Matt LaFleur as head coach.

Is it different? Yes and no. Green Bay are a Super Bowl caliber team, and Rodgers has kept them on the hunt for 16 seasons. Palmer and the Bengals were a top-down team that didn’t make it past the AFC Wild Card round. But it’s clear that the issues that led to the dissatisfaction of the two quarterbacks did not happen overnight.

The next quarterback

Palmer’s demands led Cincinnati to draft Andy Dalton with the No.35 pick in the 2011 NFL Draft. Dalton led the TCU to a 13-0 record which included a Mountain West Conference championship and a Rose Bowl victory over Wisconsin the previous season. It served as an insurance policy in case Palmer didn’t return.

The Packers have already created their problem by trading for Jordan Love’s draft with the No.26 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Love also played in the Mountain West Conference in Utah State. He led the Aggies to an 11-2 record in 2018, but that record fell to 7-6 with a new coaching staff the following season. Green Bay drafted Love instead of adding another more immediate piece to a returning NFC Championship team.

Is it different? Yes. Cincinnati made the trip in reaction to Palmer’s displeasure. Green Bay created the discontent by swapping to add a quarterback to a roster who was ready to fight for a Super Bowl. This opened the door to criticism which has not ceased since.

Trade negotiations

According to Cincinnati.com, reports that Palmer said he would never set foot at Paul Brown Stadium surfaced in March. Bengals owner Mike Brown has said publicly after the NFL lockout this offseason that Palmer will not be traded. Brown doubled up at training camp in July, telling reporters, “I wish him luck and he’s retired. It is his choice. Brown followed up on that and the team put Palmer on the “didn’t report” list until the 2011 season.

Rodgers hasn’t directly said he won’t play for the Packers in 2021, but ESPN insider Adam Schefter’s report that the quarterback is unhappy and wants to come out eclipsed the first round of the NFL Draft. 2021 April 29. Murphy and Gutekunst have said on several occasions that Rodgers will not be traded until the 2021 season, but the situation is starts to look like Brett Favre’s exit from Green Bay in 2008. Favre was traded to the Jets that season.

Now the question is whether Rodgers shows up to training camp in July. That will be the goal over the next six weeks.

Is it different? The situations are similar, although Rodgers has not publicly requested a trade. Both quarterbacks are playing for old school property, and Green Bay could go the same path as Cincinnati if there is no fence repair with Rodgers.

Regular season

The Bengals opened the 2011 season with a 4-2 record in the off week with Dalton as quarterback, prompting Brown to trade Palmer to the Raiders on October 18, 2011. Cincinnati continued with a 9-7 record and reached the AFC Wild Cards Tour.

This is the potential next step for the Packers if Rodgers’ resistance continues into the season. Love would be the potential Week 1 starter against New Orleans despite not having taken a snapshot in 2020. It’s a risky decision given that most of these Packers’ roster last two NFC championship races remain on board. If Rodgers’ resistance dragged on in training camp, he would gain more attention than the circus with Favre in 2008.

Is it different? The worst-case scenario for the Packers could be catastrophic. The franchise would watch the back-to-back Hall of Fame quarterbacks go unceremoniously, and Rodgers’ situation has already divided the fan base in a similar fashion. Because Palmer hadn’t performed well in 2020, it was easier for Cincinnati fans to turn to Dalton. Love would face a lot more pressure at Green Bay if he were the starter, which is not a sure thing at this point given the inexperience.

Long term implications

Dalton was 70-61-2 in nine seasons with the Bengals, and he led the franchise to five playoff appearances. Cincinnati haven’t won either of those games, and the franchise continued last season by drafting Joe Burrow with the No.1 pick. Palmer was 44-37-1 in seven seasons with Oakland and Arizona after leaving Cincinnati. , and his only career playoff win came against the Packers in 2016.

The Packers would bet on another stroke of luck. Rodgers’ first season was a bumpy starter, but he proved to be a more effective Favre. That led to a 12-9 playoff record and a Super Bowl 45 victory. Love would be tasked with meeting impossible expectations, but so will anyone who takes the shots after Rodgers leaves. Green Bay, which appears to be happening even though not during the 2020 season.

Is it different? The parallels to Palmer’s situation are there, especially if Rodgers holds up, but the stakes are much higher in Green Bay. The Packers’ situation remains to be determined, and July will be very interesting if Rodgers doesn’t show up.

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