For the game enthusiast, here are my picks from NFL Week 6. It should be noted that the team logos indicate who I think will win the game, it will not cover the spread. At the end of the selections, I will point out some teams that I like based on the spread: with all the lines coming through Sidelines.io.
Buccaneers (-6.5) at Eagles: The Eagles have already had to face a couple of the league’s elite offenses this season at the Dallas Cowboys and Kansas City Chiefs. In those two games, not including kneeling, the Birds allowed 11 TDs on just 18 possessions, and the Cowboys and Chiefs made it look easy.
They will face another elite offense on Thursday night. The Buccaneers employ the best player in NFL history, the best set of wide receivers in the NFL and a very good offensive line. However, unlike the Cowboys and Chiefs, Tampa also has a stifling running defense.
There is good feeling in Philadelphia once again after the Eagles managed to steal a road win against the beaten Carolina Panthers, but reality will again settle in that the Eagles cannot be with the best teams in the NFL.
Dolphins (-3.5) in Jaguars: For the second week in a row, the London game (9:30 am EST) is the worst game on the schedule. The Dolphins have the worst point differential in the NFL, at -75, while the Jags are -59. However, it has meaning for Eagles fans, as the Birds own the Miami first-round pick in 2022. If the Dolphins lost to the Jaguars without a win, it would be reasonable to begin to believe that the Dolphins pick could land. somewhere among the first. 3.
Tua Tagovailoa was unwell to start the season before suffering a broken rib against the Bills. Jacoby Brissett replaced him and it was worse. Tagovailoa should be back for this game.
Trevor Lawrence is starting to play better and the Jags are used to taking this trip abroad. I’ll take them, I guess, without any confidence.
Packers (-4.5) at Bears: Aaron Rodgers is 20-5 in his career against the Bears with 55 TDs and 10 interceptions. He has also won his last four games against them, all by at least 7 points, and by an average of 12.5 points. I think Justin Fields will eventually become a good quarterback, but I still don’t trust him in front of a shitty offensive line.
Bengals (-3.5) at Lions: If you are in a group of survivors, I will be careful when choosing teams that play against the Lions. They should have a win over the Ravens if it weren’t for a missed delay in calling the game, and they’ve played very hard against other teams this season. And now you have his head coach crying openly after a tough loss from the great effort that his players put in.
They will eventually beat a good team and knock out half the group of survivors. Don’t get carried away by those other fools.
Texans at Colts (-10): I like the Colts as a group game of survivors this week. They are 1-4 and desperately need to get back on the win column against a bad divisional opponent.
Carson Wentz will never be the player he was in 2017 again, and he still shows some glimpses of the bad habits that made him the worst starting quarterback in the NFL in 2020. Yet at least he has been functional with Frank. Reich, and this list of the Colts around him is better than his 1-4 record would indicate. Reich may also remind his players that Indy started 1-5 in 2018 but eventually finished 10-6 and even won a playoff game.
And yet I also like jeans a bit (+10).
Rams (-9.5) at Giants: It’s only week 6, and the giants are already dead. They were bad at the beginning, but now they are also very beaten. They have a couple of starting inside offensive linemen, plus LB Blake Martinez, on IR, and the following players did not practice on Wednesday:
- QB Daniel Jones
- RB Saquon Barkley
- WR Kenny Golladay
- OT Andrew Thomas
Meanwhile, the Rams are almost completely healthy.
Chiefs (-6.5) on soccer team: The Chiefs have given up 163 points this season, the worst in the NFL. The soccer team has yielded 155, the second worst.
When the Chiefs were 1-2 and headed to Philadelphia in dire need of a win, they got one with relative ease, while Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense dominated. With 2-3 going to Maryland, I suspect Mahomes will again easily disarm what has been a surprisingly terrible WFT defense. Add in all the continuous off-field distractions this junk franchise is involved in, and you’re set for a blowout loss.
Vikings (-1) at Panthers: I think most will see this game in terms of the respective availabilities of Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook. For me, this matchup is about the terrible OL of the Vikings against Haasan Reddick and Brian Burns (9.5 sacks combined), and the terrible OL of the Panthers against Danielle Hunter and Everson Griffen (10 sacks combined). I like Kirk Cousins’ chances of acting under pressure than Sam Darnold, which doesn’t say much about Darnold.
Chargers on Ravens (-3): The Chargers and Ravens have been involved in some wild games this season. This is a possible playoff matchup in the AFC. The Ravens have been a bit erratic this season for my liking, nearly losing to the Lions and Colts, while the Chargers have been more consistently good against much better competition. Give me the Bolts.
Cardinals at Browns (-3): Again, like the Chargers and Ravens mentioned above, the Cardinals and Browns have played some crazy games this season. Even though the Cardinals are the only undefeated team left, I’m not ready to buy them as Super Bowl contenders. This would be a statement game. I do not see it. Give me the Browns.
Raiders at Broncos (-3.5): This is going to be a fascinating game in terms of how Raiders players respond to Jon Gruden’s resignation in disgrace this week. I wouldn’t be surprised if his season fell apart. We’ll see.
Cowboys (-3.5) at Patri * ts: This line feels oddly low, like it only has 3.5 points because people still pretend the Patri * ts are a good soccer team. They are not. The party is over and it’s worth noting that your local domain is gone too. 0-3 at Gillette so far this season, soon 0-4.
Seahawks at Steelers (-5.5): The Steelers have gone 17 years without a losing season. The Seahawks have passed nine. They have the two longest current winning season streaks in the NFL:
years since I posted a losing record
17 – PIT
9 – MAR
8 – KC
5 – BALL, TEN
4 – NO, LAR
2 – BUF, GB
1 – CLE, TB, ARI, IND, MIA, LV
0 – CIN, DEN, LAC, DAL, ATL, SF, NYG, JAX, NYJ, DET, CAR, PHI, NE, HOU, MIN, WAS
– Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) May 20, 2021
With Geno Smith at quarterback for the next several months and a Ben Roethlisberger at the helm for the remainder of the Steelers season, both streaks are in grave jeopardy.
Invoices (-5.5) on Titans: The Bills are rolling. After a rare Week 1 loss to the Steelers, they won by 35, 22, 40 and 18, with a pair of shutouts. Just mount it.
Week 1: Rams ✔
Week 2: Buccaneers ✔
Week 3: Broncos ✔
Week 4: Invoices ✔
Week 5: Patri * ts ✔
Week 6: foals
• Picks against the spread: Packers (-4.5), Texans (+10), Chiefs (-6.5), Chargers (+3), Cowboys (-3.5), Bills (-5.5).
• Elections of the Eagles: 3-2
• Season 2021, direct: 50-30 (0.625)
• Season 2021, ATS: 10-15-1 (0.404)
• 2020 season, directly: 169-81-1 (0.675)
• Season 2020, ATS: 45-37-3 (0.547)
• Season 2019, directly: 160-107-1 (0.601)
• Season 2019, ATS: 42-35-3 (0.544)
• 2018 season, straight: 173-94-2 (0.647)
• Season 2018, ATS: 41-36-2 (0.532)
• Season 2017, directly: 181-86 (0.678)
• Season 2017, ATS: 36-32-2 (0.529)
• Season 2016, directly: 171-94-2 (0.644)
• Season 2016, ATS: 41-34 (0.547)
• Season 2015, directly: 163-93 (0.637)
• Season 2015, ATS: 46-30-2 (0.605)
• Last 7 years, ATS: 261-219-13 (0.543)
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